Junio de 2011 (Continuación)

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad ha caído en el error que cometen todos los presidentes de Irán: ha desafiado la autoridad del líder supremo del país, el ayatolá Ali Jamenei. Está condenado al fracaso.

El desafío de Ahmadinejad es una parte predecible de la política iraní que ha llegado a ser conocida como «el síntoma del presidente», que surge de la convicción de un presidente de que, como líder elegido por el pueblo, no debe verse limitado por la supervisión del líder supremo. Sin embargo, la historia de la república islámica está llena de intentos fallidos de sus presidentes por consolidar un centro de poder independiente.…  Seguir leyendo »

The dramatic developments across North Africa and the Middle East remind me of the fall of the Berlin Wall and the end of the Cold War. From Tunis to Cairo to Benghazi, people overcame fear to embrace freedom. Some governments in the region have taken important steps to meet the rightful demands of their citizens. Others realized their time was up and moved aside. But I was appalled to see that in some countries, and especially in Libya, the call for freedom and dignity has been met with state violence.

NATO’s reaction to the crisis in Libya has been quick and resolute.…  Seguir leyendo »

“The Agency concludes that the destroyed building was very likely a nuclear reactor and should have been declared by Syria” according to the safeguards agreement.

So writes the International Atomic Energy Agency’s director general, Yukiya Amano, in his May 24, 2011 report to the I.A.E.A. board of governors about the installation the Israeli Air Force bombed in September 2007. Although he does not explicitly say so, Mr. Amano’s finding places Syria in violation of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. Three years in the making, the I.A.E.A. certainly cannot be accused of a rush to judgment.

Now comes the hard part: At its meeting next week, the I.A.E.A.…  Seguir leyendo »

The chairman of Egypt’s stock exchange undertook an urgent mission last month to the Persian Gulf, where he implored rich Arabs to invest in Egypt’s bourse. Low share prices and limited political risk, Mohamed Abdel Salam claimed, had made the Egyptian market «more attractive than ever.»

Abdel Salam was right, at least about the low share prices. In the aftermath of the Papyrus Revolution, the drop in Egypt’s EXG30 stock index was comparable to that of the Dow following 9/11. The Dow recovered by January 2002, but in the four months since the revolution, the EGX30 has plunged an astounding 22%.…  Seguir leyendo »