El 24 de diciembre los libios irán a las urnas para la primera ronda de una elección presidencial que se gesta desde hace años. La votación llega después de décadas de dictadura, guerra civil y, más recientemente, un período de incertidumbre exasperante. Pero para que los resultados gocen de amplia aceptación, los votantes tienen que poder tomar una decisión informada en el cuarto oscuro.
Es posible que eso no ocurra: el calendario electoral comprimido ofrece poco tiempo a los libios para conocer a los más de 70 candidatos. El período de campaña se redujo a dos semanas por la presencia de fuerzas extranjeras en el país y temor a que vuelva el conflicto.… Seguir leyendo »
Saif al-Islam al-Gaddafi, son of the late Libyan dictator Moammar Gaddafi, registered on Sunday as a presidential candidate for Libya’s elections scheduled for Dec. 24, complicating an already precarious situation. These elections were originally designed to complete a post-conflict transition that began a year ago, when a U.N.-picked body of 75 Libyan political figures set the December date.
This year, as a key prerequisite for the vote, that body formed a new Government of National Unity — an interim executive designed to unify the country’s then-two rival administrations. Since then, an international consensus has emerged that Libya’s elections should take place.… Seguir leyendo »
Fragile Progress toward a Unity Government for Libya
Despite a reported breakthrough in mid-January, there are still many steps to take before an interim unity government can emerge in Libya. The country has been divided in two, between two parallel governments and military coalitions that have been intermittently at war, since 2014. Participants in the 75-member forum that the UN assembled to bring the two back together agreed on an internal voting mechanism for appointing top officials. But the complicated voting process could easily trigger further disputes. Moreover, rival Libyan factions disagree on who should lead the country and are only paying lip service to transparency in voting.… Seguir leyendo »
It has been almost three months since UN Special Representative for Libya Ghassan Salamé launched his ambitious 12-month action plan for Libya. Salamé's programme seeks to amend the Libyan Political Agreement (LPA) that spawned the Government of National Accord, pass a constitution and hold presidential and parliamentary elections.
That timeline always looked ambitious. Salamé has had some notable successes, re-establishing the UN’s lead in negotiations and resuscitating a dormant political process. But now he faces the challenge of convincing Libyan powerbrokers to focus their efforts on succeeding in elections rather than fighting a drawn out battle over amendments to the LPA.… Seguir leyendo »
Bueno, pues ahí lo tienen. Hay una excepción libia. Los islamistas ganaron en Túnez. En Egipto, comparten el poder con el ejército. Pero en Libia, ni lo uno ni lo otro.
Aunque, en el momento en que escribo estas líneas, todavía no tenemos las cifras definitivas, la tendencia es clara: los Hermanos Musulmanes han sido derrotados en Trípoli; y en Bengasi, que nos presentaban como ganada para su causa de toda la vida; y en Derna, que, durante la guerra, pasaba por ser un feudo del yihadismo. Y es que la gran vencedora de las primeras elecciones libres organizadas en Libia desde hace casi medio siglo es la coalición liderada por Mahmoud Jibril.… Seguir leyendo »
Libya’s new electoral law, passed by the National Transitional Council last month, provides guidelines for selecting the country’s first-ever democratic government. Many, including the United Nations, hailed the law’s passage as a significant step down Libya’s rocky political road.
But even if, as planned, a government is elected later this year, the law contains a plank that may ensure that Libya remains unstable and economically precarious, a danger to both itself and its neighbors: namely, it prohibits members of the military from voting.
Excluding soldiers from elections is an understandable and real concern for countries transitioning from dictatorship, which relies on brutal militaries to quash domestic support for democracy.… Seguir leyendo »
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