Recent gains by Islamic State in Iraq have raised questions about the viability of the Obama administration’s strategy to degrade and ultimately defeat it. Thus far, President Barack Obama has ruled out the use of U.S. ground forces and opted for a mix of air strikes and arming elements in Iraq that have a vested interest in fighting Islamic State. The results of this approach have been mixed. What has become clear, though, is that to defeat Islamic State, the Obama administration must engage with elements of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps, who are increasingly on the front lines battling Islamic State alongside motivated Iraqi forces.… Seguir leyendo »
Dix mois après la chute de Mossoul, la dynamique militaire de Daech en Irak est non seulement contenue, mais amoindrie. Seulement, si Daech montre des signes de faiblesse en Irak et dans une moindre mesure en Syrie, plusieurs mouvements djihadistes ont porté allégeance à l’organisation, en Libye, au nord du Nigeria (Boko Haram), en Egypte, en Afghanistan et au Pakistan. Des cellules se réclamant de Daech existent en Arabie saoudite, au Yémen, en Turquie. En vérité, il ne s’agit pas d’une Internationale daechi, mais plutôt d’une identification aux modes d’action de l’organisation en Irak et en Syrie.
La « décrue » du djihadisme en Irak ne signifie pas encore sa déroute.… Seguir leyendo »
President Obama's decision to target militants from ISIS -- which is now calling itself the "Islamic State" or "IS" -- operating in Iraq comes as a huge relief to the Iranians. Officials in Tehran have been panic stricken since ISIS forces overran the northern Iraqi city of Mosul on June 10.
All political factions in Tehran would like to see ISIS suffer and its latest advances rolled back. At the same time, contradictory statements made in Tehran make it clear that the Iranian authorities are divided about the implications of the American military's return to Iraq.
The moderates, the group of people associated with President Hassan Rouhani's presidential administration, are nudging toward an open admission that American military operations in Iraq compliment Tehran's policy goals.… Seguir leyendo »
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