Alexandre Afonso

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Anti-Brexit protester Steve Bray demonstrates outside the House of Parliament on March 11. (Jack Taylor/Getty Images)This graph shows where the British Parliament might agree on Brexit

The United Kingdom’s House of Commons is deadlocked over Brexit, after Prime Minister Theresa May twice failed to get the House of Commons to support the withdrawal agreement she has negotiated with the European Union. May has lost some control of the process. Since the last vote on her agreement, the House of Commons has held “indicative” votes aimed at gauging support for possible options. Those range from the U.K. leaving the European Union with no deal to having a second Brexit referendum.

By looking at which members of Parliament voted for which option, we can begin to figure out the possible coalitions of support.…  Seguir leyendo »

LEFT: Centrist French presidential candidate Emmanuel Macron gestures during a meeting at the Parc des Expositions in Paris, on April 23, 2017, after the first round of the presidential election. (Eric FEFERBERG/AFP/Getty Images) RIGHT: Far-right presidential candidate Marine Le Pen delivers a speech after finishing second in the first round in Henin-Beaumont, northern France, April 23, 2017. (OLIVIER HOSLET/EPA)

The French vote again this weekend — it’s the second and final round of the French presidential election. Centrist Emmanuel Macron finished first in the first round with 24 percent, followed by the National Front’s Marine Le Pen (21.3 percent).

Both are now through to the runoff on Sunday, May 7. Three others were eliminated: conservative candidate François Fillon (20 percent), radical left candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon (19.6 percent) and Socialist Party candidate Benoît Hamon (6.4 percent).

The latest polls for the second round give Macron the lead with 60 percent vs. 40 percent for Le Pen. In France’s two-round majoritarian system, one candidate needs to get more than 50 percent of the popular vote in the second round.…  Seguir leyendo »

Como era de esperarse, el partido radical de izquierda Syriza fue el gran ganador de las elecciones en Grecia, con solo dos asientos menos de los necesarios para tener la mayoría absoluta en el parlamento. Pero no queda claro si el nuevo primer ministro Alexis Tsipras será capaz de conseguir sus objetivos antiausteridad y renegociar los términos de la deuda griega con sus acreedores —y seguramente deberá hacer algunas concesiones para su compañero de coalición, el partido de derecha con agenda antiinmigración Griegos Independientes—.

¿Qué significa esta victoria para Grecia y para los países con deudas al sur de Europa? Para Grecia, este es un paso decisivo para el final de PASOK y Nueva Democracia, los partidos que han permanecido en el poder durante 40 años.…  Seguir leyendo »