Alina Polyakova

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EuropaInternacionalOTAN, , ,

As the second anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine draws near, Kyiv’s allies are struggling to articulate a common vision for the long-term security of Ukraine and of Europe. The invasion, and the Ukrainian people’s subsequent courageous resistance, appeared to be a watershed moment for the transatlantic alliance—underscoring its value and illuminating Ukraine’s importance to Europe. NATO mobilized troops to its eastern flank, Europe and the United States offered Kyiv unprecedented aid, and Europeans stepped up to host millions of Ukrainian refugees.

But two years later, both the shock prompted by Russian President Vladimir Putin’s aggression and the awe at Ukraine’s fighting spirit seem to have worn off.…  Seguir leyendo »

A supporter of Civic Coalition in Lodz, Poland, October 2023. Kacper Pempel / Reuters

EuropaUnión Europea,

In the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, a power vacuum emerged in Europe. Germany, despite being Europe’s economic heavyweight, did not shed its historical reluctance to lead. French President Emmanuel Macron had to make up for years of French overtures to Russian President Vladimir Putin. And the United Kingdom’s decision to exit from the European Union in 2016—and the rancorous and painful divorce that followed—stripped the country of any chance it had to play a meaningful role on the continent.

This absence of leadership presented an opportunity for Poland. By virtue of its size, growing economic and military strength, geography, and knowledge of Russia, Poland was in the perfect position to play a larger leadership role, especially in shaping how Europe should deal with the Kremlin.…  Seguir leyendo »

A Ukrainian soldier in the Donetsk region, Ukraine, June 2023. Oleksandr Ratushniak / Reuters

Europa, , ,
In response to An Unwinnable War by Samuel Charap. There Can Be No Negotiations With Putin

Dmytro Natalukha is Chair of the Committee for Economic Affairs of the Parliament of Ukraine and a member of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe.

In "An Unwinabble War" (July/August 2023) Samuel Charap makes the case that Washington should “start facilitating an endgame” for the war in Ukraine. His argument rests on his assumption that a definitive outcome is out of reach. Russia cannot conquer Ukraine, in his view, but neither can Ukraine expel Russian troops from its 1991 borders. Yet there is a reason that Ukraine defines victory as liberating every inch of its territory.…  Seguir leyendo »

Ukrainian personnel at a military base in Dorset, United Kingdom, February 2023. Toby Melville / Reuters

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U.S. President Joe Biden’s historic visit to Kyiv days before the one-year anniversary of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine sent an important message to Ukrainians and, indeed, to Russians. “Ukraine will never be a victory for Russia”, Biden proclaimed, adding that the United States will support Ukraine “as long as it takes”. Indeed, “as long as it takes” has become the new talking point for Ukraine’s allies, repeated by French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Olaf Scholz. But “as long as it takes” also signals to many Ukrainians that the allies expect the war to drag out for years, with Ukraine bearing the brunt of it.…  Seguir leyendo »

Ukrainian soldiers training at Grafenwoehr Training Area, Germany, June 2022. Army Sgt. Spencer Rhodes / U.S. Department of Defense

EuropaInternacionalOTAN, , ,

Since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February, the West has provided billions in military and economic assistance aid to Kyiv. The United States alone has provided more than $8 billion in security support in the last six months. The money and arms are making a difference on the battlefield. The recently delivered U.S.-made High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS), for example, have allowed Ukraine to launch counteroffensives in the southeast and repel attacks elsewhere.

Support from other NATO allies has been mixed, however. Germany, for example, has been delayed in delivering similar rocket systems, with the first arriving just in the last few days, and other promised heavy weapons likely delayed until the end of the year.…  Seguir leyendo »

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky with soldiers in Soledar, Ukraine, June 2022. Handout / Reuters

Europa, , ,

As Russia’s war in Ukraine enters its fourth month, calls are growing in Western Europe and the United States for a diplomatic push to end the war. In late May, Italy proposed a four-point peace plan for Ukraine that would culminate in sanctions relief for Russia. Not long after, former U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, speaking at Davos, called on Ukraine to cede territory to Russia and to begin negotiations immediately. And at the beginning of June, French President Emmanuel Macron repeated his call to not “humiliate” Russia. In the halls of power, a consensus seems to be emerging: give Moscow land in exchange for peace.…  Seguir leyendo »

A captured Russian tank in Kyiv, March 2022. Gleb Garanich / Reuters

Europa, , ,

Over the past weeks, Moscow’s war on Ukraine has taken a turn. After failing to seize Kyiv, Russian forces pulled back to Belarus and Russia, leaving behind a trail of civilian casualties, and regrouped in Ukraine’s east with the aim of making additional gains in the Donbas. Russian President Vladimir Putin appointed General Alexander Dvornikov, also known as the “butcher of Syria”, to lead his country’s campaign. This week, he launched a new, more brutal military offensive in Ukraine’s east.

But as the Ukrainians begin fighting against the renewed assault, Western policy is lagging behind the reality of war on the ground.…  Seguir leyendo »

EuropaUnión EuropeaUE a debate,

Britons’ vote to leave the European Union on June 23 incited a wave of panic among centrists across the Continent. Far-right populists pounced on the opportunity. Marine Le Pen, the leader of France’s National Front, called Britain’s decision to leave the union the beginning of a “people’s spring.” Ms. Le Pen’s fellow travelers, such as Geert Wilders in the Netherlands, Frauke Petry of Germany and Heinz-Christian Strache of Austria, have suggested similar referendums in their countries.

Europe’s centrist politicians are right to be nervous about the long-term consequences of a Brexit for Europe’s economy and political stability. But a Frexit, Dexit or Auxit should not be their top concern.…  Seguir leyendo »