Amos Yadlin

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Alors même que le mouvement de protestation de Gaza a pris une tournure de plus en plus violente ces dernières semaines et qu’une centaine de roquettes et de mortiers ont récemment frappé le sud d’Israël, l’Etat juif s’est constamment employé à limiter le nombre de victimes des deux côtés tandis que le Hamas cherche au contraire à les multiplier.

Depuis qu’il a pris le contrôle de la bande de Gaza, le Hamas a échoué sur les plans politique, économique et militaire, d’où sa quête d’une nouvelle stratégie. En décidant d’organiser des manifestations violentes le long de la frontière entre la bande de Gaza et Israël, le Hamas semble avoir fait un choix, celui de la confrontation avec Israël.…  Seguir leyendo »

Israeli soldiers and tanks during a military exercise this week in the Golan Heights. Syria accused Israel on Thursday of attacking a military base. Credit Jalaa Marey/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

In the early hours of Thursday night, according to the Syrian Army, the Israeli Air Force attacked a military site in the Syrian town of Masyaf that produces advanced missiles. Though the attack does not compare in strategic value to Syria’s Al Kibar nuclear reactor, which was destroyed a decade ago, it represents a major step in the right direction for Israel’s policy toward Syria. This strike sent five key messages — messages that point toward Israel adopting a more proactive strategy in confronting the threats posed by the Assad regime and its partners, Iran and Hezbollah.

The first message is strategic.…  Seguir leyendo »

After nearly three weeks of fighting — notwithstanding the 12-hour pause announced early this morning by Israel — it is time to revisit some basic assumptions about Hamas. Until now, Israel assumed Hamas was the “devil we know,” capable of attacks that were mostly a nuisance; accepting its rule over the Gaza Strip was preferable to risking a vacuum of governance like what we see in Somalia and Libya. But Hamas’s reckless violence in the current round of fighting severely undermined this thinking.

First, Hamas has proved a bad ruler. By placing many of its military assets — tunnels to infiltrate Israel, bunkers for its fighters, rocket launchers to terrorize Israeli civilians — under or among mosques, hospitals and schools, Hamas turned Gaza’s civilians into a shield for its military assets, in effect daring Israel to attack them.…  Seguir leyendo »

Is Iran finally ready to talk? Iran’s new president, Hassan Rouhani, has said he’s ready for nuclear negotiations. And in recent weeks, the Iranian government has repeatedly expressed its desire to reach a deal on its uranium enrichment program.

A few days after Mr. Rouhani’s election victory, Russia’s foreign minister, Sergey V. Lavrov, stated that Iran was prepared to limit its enrichment to a level below 20 percent, which is the main goal of a future agreement between the West and Iran. And last month, Iraq’s prime minister, Nuri Kamal al-Maliki, reportedly told the White House that Iran wanted to begin direct nuclear negotiations with the United States.…  Seguir leyendo »

This fall, all the boxes will be checked for an Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities. Consider this Aug. 1 statement of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu: “Time to resolve this issue peacefully is running out.” Defense Minister Ehud Barak said Thursday that “there are risks in the situation today . . . [but] it’s infinitely more dangerous . . . to deal with a nuclear Iran in the future.” When President Shimon Peres added his voice to the public opposition to a unilateral Israeli strike this fall, an associate of Netanyahu accused Peres of having “forgotten” the role of Israel’s president.…  Seguir leyendo »

On June 7, 1981, I was one of eight Israeli fighter pilots who bombed the Iraqi nuclear reactor at Osirak. As we sat in the briefing room listening to the army chief of staff, Rafael Eitan, before starting our planes’ engines, I recalled a conversation a week earlier when he’d asked us to voice any concerns about our mission.

We told him about the risks we foresaw: running out of fuel, Iraqi retaliation, how a strike could harm our relationship with America, and the limited impact a successful mission might have — perhaps delaying Iraq’s nuclear quest by only a few years.…  Seguir leyendo »