Christopher Clary

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On Monday, for the first time in 45 years, Indian and Chinese soldiers engaged in fatal, localized skirmishes along the more than 2,000-mile disputed boundary between the two countries. It’s a significant escalation of tensions between the two Asian nuclear powers, who have been engaged in a sometimes-violent standoff since early May, though one that had until this week not led to any deaths.

The situation had already attracted considerable international concern, with President Trump on May 27 offering U.S. diplomatic assistance to India and China to help resolve what he called at that earlier stage “their now raging border dispute.”…  Seguir leyendo »

An Indian paramilitary officer adjusts the head gear of a colleague during the final dress rehearsal Sunday ahead of Independence Day celebrations in Agartala, the capital of northeastern state of Tripura. (AFP/Getty Images)

This week, as India celebrates 70 years of independence, it celebrates also its status as a great power. As the most important “global swing state,” the nation is actively courted from all directions. But what kind of power will India become?

The answers to these three questions will determine not just India’s role in the world but the nature of great power politics in the 21st century.

1. Will India convert its demographic potential into economic growth?

India’s population is 1.3 billion today, and it is expected to pass China’s in the next decade and reach 1.7 billion by 2050. India has more youth and fewer elderly than China — and as the Chinese generation born of the one-child policy comes of age, that gap will only grow.…  Seguir leyendo »