Daniel W. Drezner

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Former U.S. President Donald Trump at a campaign rally in Erie, Pennsylvania, July 2023. Lindsay DeDario / Reuters.

For most countries, the Biden administration’s foreign policy represents a return to normality after the chaos of the Trump years. Long-standing allies and partners have seen their relationships strengthened. Autocrats no longer deal with a U.S. president who wants to emulate them. Great-power rivals face a United States that is dedicated to outcompeting them. For many observers, it is hard not to conclude that under President Joe Biden, the United States has returned to the postwar tradition of liberal internationalism. In this view, the Trump administration was an ephemeral blip rather than an inflection point. Equilibrium has been restored.

Beneath the superficial calm, however, many global actors are anxious about the 2024 U.S.…  Seguir leyendo »

US president Joe Biden delivers the 2023 State of the Union address to a joint session of Congress at the US Capitol in Washington, DC, his first address to a new Republican-controlled House. Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images.

Trade and economics are key areas to watch

Daniel W. Drezner

Russia’s absence from the Munich Security Conference will allow US and European policymakers to brag about their flourishing partnership. The past year has seen repeated predictions of a fracturing transatlantic relationship – only to see repeated agreement on how to sanction Russia and which arms to ship to Ukraine.

Putin invaded because he thought the West was divided. Events have proven him wrong. When one takes a step back, however, and examines the Biden administration’s embrace of geoeconomics, Putin’s assumption becomes easier to comprehend.

The strongest throughline between the Trump and Biden administrations has been their shared mindset on weaponized interdependence.…  Seguir leyendo »

Russian President Vladimir Putin shakes hands with Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan ahead of their meeting at the Novo-Ogaryovo residence outside Moscow on April 19. VYACHESLAV PROKOFYEV/POOL/AFP via Getty Images

Russia’s war in Ukraine has forced many countries to triage their national interests. U.S. President Joe Biden’s trip to the Middle East last month prompted hue and cry from some quarters in Washington for its hypocrisy. Despite his campaign promise to turn Saudi Arabia into a “pariah” state, Biden fist-bumped de facto Saudi leader Mohammed bin Salman in an effort to get more oil flowing into global markets. For many disillusioned with U.S. foreign policy, this seemed to illustrate that the United States had sacrificed its proclaimed values to pursue realpolitik.

The United States is hardly the only democracy to engage in these kinds of recalibrations.…  Seguir leyendo »

Ahora que va a empezar la más reciente cumbre de ministros de Finanzas del G-20 en Cairns, Australia, los agoreros de la catástrofe vociferan de nuevo. Sus ideas preconcebidas es que “el sistema” –estructuras de gobernanza global como la Organización Mundial de Comercio y el G-20 o los principales bancos centrales– tiene serias fallas y hay que corregirlas con urgencia. De hecho, el orden económico mundial ha funcionado extraordinariamente bien desde 2008.

Es cierto que el primer año de la gran recesión fue más grave que el primer año de la Gran Depresión. Sin embargo, pese a la sacudida inicial, el sistema respondió de forma sorprendentemente bien.…  Seguir leyendo »