Edward Wanyonyi

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Africa in 2016: Three strategic contingencies

2016 promises to be an interesting and dynamic year in Africa’s peace and security agenda. Barely 60 days into the New Year, three distinct trends are emerging which will determine major decisions in most defence and national security engagements in the region. While surprises are inevitable, rarely do countries struggle to bounce back when hit with these shocks unless one is talking about disasters such as the catastrophic earthquake that struck Haiti in 2010 or the 2006 Tsunami. However this year presidents, cabinets and security chiefs will be faced with the challenges pertaining to insurgencies, containing shocks brought by the collapse of oil prices and handling political transitions.…  Seguir leyendo »

Assessing the EU and Britain’s Response to The Immigration Challenge: Time for a Foresight Approach?

The recent pronouncements by British Home Secretary Theresa May and France minister for interior Bernard Cazeneuve in Calais distancing the EU from the unfolding immigration crisis and placing it on external factors- fragile and stateless societies in Africa and Asia has sparked fresh debate on whether the neglected approach of foresight can be more suitable.

The meeting comes at a time when Calais is the scene of unprecedented numbers of immigrants seemingly overwhelming border police and assorted deterrence barriers while the UN Secretary General Ban Ki Moon called for an extraordinary summit in September for global heads of states to deliberate on appropriate responses to the 50 fold increase of deaths of migrants attempting to get to EU.…  Seguir leyendo »

Machine gunners with 1st Sapper Company, Burundi National Defense Force, focus on their targets during a combined arms training event, June 26, 2012. Marines and sailors from Special-Purpose Marine Air-Ground Task Force Africa, Security Cooperation Team-2 have been in Burundi training with the 1st Sapper Company in combined arms breaching techniques to prepare the unit for deployment in support of the African Union Mission in Somalia.

On 7th February 2015, Nigerians received news from the chairman of Nigeria’s Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), Prof. Attahiru Jega, that national and state elections, originally scheduled for 14 and 28 February, had been postponed to 28 March and 11 April, respectively. The postponement came against a suspicious electoral climate that had earlier on been shaping pitting President Goodluck Jonathan and his main opposition rival General Muhammadu Buhari. However, the INEC chair clarified that ‘security could not be guaranteed in fourteen local government areas in the north east where Boko Haram has been waging a brutal insurgency since 2010. According to the National Security Adviser, Sambo Dasuki, rescheduling ‘the elections by six weeks would still fall within legal provisions and that the government “hoped” to restore normalcy to the north east by then.’…  Seguir leyendo »

The recent attack at Garissa University in North Eastern Kenya by Al Shabaab came as a surprise to many Kenyans and the world. Launched at the crack of dawn on Thursday April 2nd in Garissa, the attack lasted more than 6 hours and in its wake claimed the lives of 147 students, faculty and security personnel who were deployed in the counter offensive. While the Kenyan authorities concentrated their efforts in evacuating the injured, and there was improved inter agency cooperation between the various arms of the security services, more anger, helplessness and a palpable sense of disillusionment swept across the country.…  Seguir leyendo »