Eric Ciaramella

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A Ukrainian serviceman patrolling an area in the Zaporizhzhia region, Ukraine, May 2024. Stringer / Reuters.

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The U.S. Congress’s approval last month of a $61 billion aid package for Ukraine came not a minute too soon. Ammunition shortages resulting from Washington’s months-long dysfunction have eroded Ukrainian frontline positions and left cities and critical infrastructure exposed to missile and drone barrages. Top military and intelligence officials in Kyiv have advised Ukrainians to brace for territorial setbacks in the coming months. Already, the Russian military has stepped up pressure on Kharkiv, forcing thousands of Ukrainians to flee out of fear that Russian forces could soon reoccupy their towns.

The infusion of U.S. aid should help Ukraine stabilize the front and protect its skies.…  Seguir leyendo »

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky attend a joint news briefing in Kyiv, Ukraine, on April 20. (Alina Yarysh/REUTERS)

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At next week’s summit of NATO leaders in Vilnius, Lithuania, the allies appear prepared to outline a preliminary vision for Ukraine’s future role in European security, which has been reshaped by Russia’s war of aggression.

Ukraine is unlikely to receive the clarity it seeks about when it will join NATO. Although Kyiv recognizes that accession would not be immediate, it seeks a positive signal — one that does not appear to be in the offing.

This disappointment should not be cause for despair. Framing Ukraine’s long-term security solely around the rigid binary of NATO membership is unnecessary at this stage in the war.…  Seguir leyendo »

A Ukrainian serviceman, Bakhmut, Ukraine, May 2023. Serhii Nuzhnenko / Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty / Reuters

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Although Ukraine’s long-planned offensive operation is still in its initial phases, it is not too early to begin mapping out what comes next. In the short term, the answer is obvious: the United States and its allies must continue to surge weapons and training to Ukraine to enable Kyiv to liberate as much of its territory as possible this year. But planning for the long term is also needed, and that is far more difficult. As the past 15 months have shown, Russian President Vladimir Putin is not likely to abandon his goal of dominating Ukraine, even in the face of military setbacks.…  Seguir leyendo »