Esfandyar Batmanghelidj

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An Iranian woman at a market, Tehran, May 2022. Majid Asgaripour / West Asia News Agency / Reuters

MundoOriente Próximo,

The deeply suspicious death of 22-year old Mahsa Amini in September 2022—which came after she was arrested and allegedly beaten by the morality police—was a pivotal moment for the people of Iran. The incident unleashed a wave of outrage that fueled protests throughout the country. The demonstrations were remarkable for displays of bravery, especially from Iranian women, as well as for the solidarity shown across ethnic and class lines. In the first few weeks, protesters snarled traffic and shut down university campuses in dozens of cities. Many observers believed the demonstrations were even the initial stages of a revolution.

But after more than seven months, the Islamic Republic still stands.…  Seguir leyendo »

An Iranian man looks at exchange rates in Tehran on June 15. ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images

MundoAméricaMundoOriente Próximo, ,

The Iran nuclear deal recently marked its seventh anniversary—but it may well turn out to be its last. Despite a year of negotiations in Vienna, which nearly delivered an agreement on how the United States and Iran would return to full compliance with the nuclear deal, the process is now on the verge of collapse.

All parties to the deal share blame, and they all stand to lose. For the West, there will be a dramatic setback for nonproliferation efforts in the Middle East. The failure of the nuclear deal also risks military escalation in a region playing a crucial role during the global energy crisis triggered by Russia’s war in Ukraine.…  Seguir leyendo »

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, left, greets Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif after a document-signing ceremony in Tehran on March 27. The two countries signed a 25-year bilateral strategic partnership deal. (Abedin Taherkenareh/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock)

MundoAsiaMundoOriente Próximo,

On Saturday, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi was in Tehran to sign a 25-year partnership deal between China and Iran. The deal, according to a leaked draft, outlines plans for economic, political and security cooperation between the two countries, which are celebrating 50 years of diplomatic ties.

Our research provides some important context to this announcement. Since news of the agreement surfaced in 2016, the prospect of a closer alliance between two U.S. rivals has inspired alarm in the United States. In March, President Biden told a reporter he had been “concerned for over a year” about the partnership.

But media reports tend to exaggerate the nature of the deal — and there are several misconceptions here.…  Seguir leyendo »