Eyck Freymann

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A Taiwanese soldier in 2022. Lam Yik Fei for The New York Times

MundoAméricaMundoAsia, ,

China’s military exercises in the waters around Taiwan this month — the largest in almost three decades — highlight the growing risk of a total breakdown in United States-China relations. A full-scale invasion of Taiwan is one eventuality; last year, the C.I.A. director, William Burns, noted that China’s president, Xi Jinping, has instructed his armed forces to be ready for an invasion by 2027.

That isn’t Mr. Xi’s only option. He could use his far larger coast guard and military to impose a “quarantine”, allowing merchant shippers and commercial airlines to travel in and out of Taiwan only on China’s terms.…  Seguir leyendo »

MundoAsia, , ,

In the weeks since Chinese authorities suppressed the anti-lockdown protests that began on November 25th, the “zero-covid” policy has been turned on its head. Under the pretext of following the democratic will, Chinese authorities have lurched from excessive caution to a hands-off approach.

Beijing is already experiencing a major outbreak. The rest of China is probably close behind and will face a massive wave in January. But because the government reversed its longstanding policy without a roadmap to reopening, undervaccinated elderly citizens have not been given enough time to get a booster shot. The result is likely to be more than a million deaths over the next few months– hundreds of thousands of them preventable.…  Seguir leyendo »