Gregory Gause III

Nota: Este archivo abarca los artículos publicados por el autor desde el 1 de enero de 2008. Para fechas anteriores realice una búsqueda entrecomillando su nombre.

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia in London last year.CreditCreditAlastair Grant/Associated Press

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It’s been more than a week since the Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi disappeared from the consulate of Saudi Arabia in Istanbul, and it’s still not clear what happened to him. What is clear, however, is that the official Saudi story that he left the building freely isn’t believable.

Whatever occurred, it’s also clear that the Khashoggi affair is just the latest sign of Saudi Arabia’s growing recklessness under the leadership of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. Yet more chaos is the last thing the Middle East needs, and it hardly serves America’s objectives in the region.

The Saudi-American relationship has never been based on shared political values.…  Seguir leyendo »

A man walks past the Qatar Airways branch in the Saudi capital, Riyadh, after it had suspended all flights to Saudi Arabia following a severing of relations between major gulf states and Qatar. (Fayez Nureldine/AFP/Getty Images)

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The crisis among the Persian Gulf monarchies — pitting Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates against Qatar — might be resolved in the short run but is very unlikely to be solved for the long term. Kuwaiti mediation and American prodding might bring the two sides to some face-saving compromise, where the Qataris accept some of the 13 demands forwarded to them by the Saudis and Emiratis, but the fundamental differences between the two sides will not be easily composed.

For those who see the current regional crisis in the Middle East through an exclusively sectarian lens, the fact that Iran quickly jumped to Qatar’s defense is just another example of the larger Sunni-Shiite conflict.…  Seguir leyendo »