Post Brexit, Britain still torn between nationalism and global leadership
Political forecasters are smart about everything except the future.
At 7.30 a.m. on the not-so-bright Brexit morning, the polling site Populus had 55 percent of Britons planning to cast their ballots for continued union with Europe -- 10 percent more than those predicted to be quitters. YouGov predicted a European margin of 4 percent. The betting markets had been on a binge for Remain.
Now please estimate how many Remain voters, seeing their side so far ahead and weather nasty in places, decided to take a rain check. Then consider the effect of the same Thursday morning polls on Leavers who felt impelled to get out their umbrellas and vote down the Europeans and the “faceless bureaucrats” and refugee “hordes” of Daily Mail phantasmorgia.… Seguir leyendo »