A China-Taiwan War Would Start an Economic Crisis. America Isn’t Ready.
China’s military exercises in the waters around Taiwan this month — the largest in almost three decades — highlight the growing risk of a total breakdown in United States-China relations. A full-scale invasion of Taiwan is one eventuality; last year, the C.I.A. director, William Burns, noted that China’s president, Xi Jinping, has instructed his armed forces to be ready for an invasion by 2027.
That isn’t Mr. Xi’s only option. He could use his far larger coast guard and military to impose a “quarantine”, allowing merchant shippers and commercial airlines to travel in and out of Taiwan only on China’s terms.… Seguir leyendo »