What It Will Take to Deter China in the Taiwan Strait
For half a century, peace has held in the Taiwan Strait. This has been due to a combination of creative diplomacy, military deterrence, and self-restraint on the part of China, Taiwan and the United States. But the factors that kept the peace in previous decades may not continue to do so in the future. The sources of instability are growing in one of the world’s most dangerous hot spots: diplomacy is fraying, deterrence is eroding, and China’s risk tolerance is increasing.
The most significant and destabilizing changes emanate from Beijing. Under President Xi Jinping, China is implementing a persistent and escalating campaign of coercion against Taiwan.… Seguir leyendo »