Ivanka Barzashka

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Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky speaks with servicemen during a visit to army outposts on the administrative border with Russia-annexed Crimea. (Handout/Ukrainian Presidential Press Ser)

Europa, ,

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken met with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky last week, reaffirming America’s strong commitment to Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. A closer security partnership, Blinken noted, would help ensure “Ukraine can defend itself against aggression.”

U.S. assurances assume Moscow would attack Ukraine — and Russia’s recent military buildup on Ukraine’s border has highlighted this concern. But what if Ukraine sparks the war? Our research suggests a future crisis could leave Kyiv in a losing fight against Russia without Western support. Here is why.

Zelensky seeks “de-occupation”

While Moscow asserts Crimea is part of Russia, Kyiv — and most of the international community — believe Moscow illegally annexed this part of Ukraine.…  Seguir leyendo »

InternacionalOTAN

NATO leaders will gather in Chicago on May 20 to set new directions for the alliance. Russia was invited to attend, in part to mark the 10th anniversary of the Russia-NATO Council, a consultative group designed to engage the former adversaries in defense planning. But President Vladimir Putin is staying home because of an impasse on what has become the single greatest source of friction between NATO and Russia: U.S. missile defense deployments in Europe, the nucleus of a wider future NATO system.

Missile defenses will ostensibly protect allies against limited regional threats from the Middle East, but Moscow fears the system will eventually undercut its nuclear deterrent and has threatened dangerous military countermeasures.…  Seguir leyendo »