Jeremy Shapiro

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Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan in Vilnius, Lithuania, July 2023. Kacper Pempel / Reuters

No one campaigns quite like Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Months before Turkey’s May 2023 elections, Erdogan unveiled his campaign slogan, “The Century of Turkey”, in front of a live audience of thousands. The spectacle included an orchestra and a chorus performing a theme song that included a rapped verse:

I was a bird with a broken wing
I stayed silent for 100 years
But enough, enough, don’t be quiet
Live free, always free!

The refrain went, “Let the Century of Turkey start—not tomorrow, today!” To cap it all off, Erdogan delivered a typically bombastic speech. Describing some of his domestic policies—such as converting Istanbul’s iconic Byzantine church, the Hagia Sophia, into a mosque—as “challenging global hegemony”, Erdogan vowed to make Turkey “among the top ten [countries] in the world in politics, economy, technology, and diplomacy”.…  Seguir leyendo »

Llegó la hora del diálogo entre Rusia y EE. UU.

En los cinco meses que han pasado desde que Rusia inició su guerra en Ucrania, Estados Unidos ha prometido ayuda militar a Ucrania con un valor de alrededor de 24.000 millones de dólares. Esa cifra es más de cuatro veces el presupuesto de defensa de Ucrania para 2021. Los socios de Estados Unidos en Europa y más allá han prometido 12.000 millones de dólares adicionales, según el Instituto Kiel para la Economía Mundial.

Y, sin embargo, esa suma de decenas de miles de millones de dólares no es suficiente para cumplir la lista de peticiones de Ucrania de armamento, que el gobierno del presidente Volodimir Zelenski anunció el mes pasado.…  Seguir leyendo »

The Russian intervention in Syria begins a new and even more dangerous phase in the continuing nightmare of the Syrian civil war. Obama administration critics often portray the incident as a test in comparative presidential masculinity. As The New York Post would have it, President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia wants to “humiliate” President Obama or, as Senator John McCain informed us, Mr. Putin has exploited Mr. Obama’s “weakness.”

Clearly, this sort of policy by machismo is good politics in both the United States and in Russia. American presidents like to look tough, and the Russian president has demonstrated that riding around bare-chested on horses and tagging tigers on camera can improve one’s domestic approval rating.…  Seguir leyendo »

CNN Opinion asked a range of contributors to give their take on Britain's election, what it means and what we can expect moving forward. The opinions expressed in these commentaries are solely their own.

Continuity wins

First surprise of Britain's election on Thursday -- everyone was WRONG. So it's time to really dissect opinion polls -- any kind of polling, really, and the media herd mentality. Conservative Prime Minister David Cameron won, securing an overall majority. No one even came close to predicting that.

So, was it the 40% undecided that caused the tsunami?

Continuity wins -- change loses. It was a victory for traditional party politics that has dominated the United Kingdom for centuries.…  Seguir leyendo »

Afghanistan has been at war more or less continuously for more than 30 years. The country has been invaded and effectively destroyed multiple times. With frequent reports of clashes and strife over the upcoming presidential election, most polls depict Afghans on the brink of an abyss and cite growing frustration with the violence, the United States and the international community. But research we conducted this year reveals that, relative to international norms, Afghans remain surprisingly happy. And unless we understand what makes Afghans so counterintuitively cheerful, we are unlikely to ultimately win their "hearts and minds".

A certain level of stability, of course, is necessary for society to function.…  Seguir leyendo »