Lawrence Freedman

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Putin sigue amenazando con usar armas nucleares. ¿Lo haría?

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La semana pasada, el presidente Vladimir Putin anunció un plan para cambiar la doctrina nuclear de Rusia. Dijo que Rusia estaría preparada para utilizar un arma nuclear en respuesta a un ataque con armas convencionales que creara una “amenaza crítica a nuestra soberanía” y que trataría la “agresión contra Rusia por parte de cualquier Estado no nuclear, pero con la participación o el apoyo de un Estado nuclear”, como un “ataque conjunto contra la Federación Rusa”.

Este es el cambio clave y no es sutil. Ni pretende serlo. Su propósito es influir en Washington sobre la cuestión concreta de si debe concederse la petición de Ucrania de utilizar sistemas de armas estadounidenses contra objetivos dentro de Rusia, y más en general persuadir a los líderes occidentales para que se tomen más en serio las amenazas de Putin.…  Seguir leyendo »

A picture taken from Sderot in southern Israel shows smoke rising during bombardment of the Gaza Strip on Tuesday. (Fadel Senna/AFP/Getty Images)

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The death toll from the Israeli attacks on Gaza now stands at more 9,000. The Israeli government and military remain single-mindedly focused on their stated goal of eliminating the threat posed by Hamas in the wake of its Oct. 7 attack in southern Israel, during which more than 1,400 people were killed. But around the world, there are signs of mounting concern about the costs to the Palestinian population.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has decisively rejected a cease-fire, saying “this is a time for war”. International humanitarian organizations are calling attention to the daunting scale of civilian suffering. Philippe Lazzarini, head of the U.N.…  Seguir leyendo »

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CNN Opinion asked a range of contributors to give their take on Britain's election, what it means and what we can expect moving forward. The opinions expressed in these commentaries are solely their own.

Continuity wins

First surprise of Britain's election on Thursday -- everyone was WRONG. So it's time to really dissect opinion polls -- any kind of polling, really, and the media herd mentality. Conservative Prime Minister David Cameron won, securing an overall majority. No one even came close to predicting that.

So, was it the 40% undecided that caused the tsunami?

Continuity wins -- change loses. It was a victory for traditional party politics that has dominated the United Kingdom for centuries.…  Seguir leyendo »