Almost a year after the Arab rebellion was set in motion, the curtain is rising on Act Two of the drama that is transforming the region.
In Tunisia, a big step was taken by holding credible elections. In Egypt, elections should start on Monday, but the country lacks the consensus to follow Tunisia in moving smoothly to the next stage.
While Western audiences are gripped by the performance of Islamic parties, in Egypt it is the technical details of constitutional and electoral arrangements that hold the key to how the drama unfolds.
The script of Tunisia’s transition was crafted back in spring when the country’s interim authorities adopted an electoral system.… Seguir leyendo »
Tunisia’s uprising enters its second week since Zine el-Abidine Ben-Ali’s departure, but its direction has become unclear. Will Mohamed Ghannouchi’s government stay in power, or will it become a short-lived episode in the old regime’s demise?
The uncertainty reflects the fact that the uprising is a true people’s movement. Tunisians agreed that Ben-Ali had to go. But no coherent opposition force has emerged to pose key demands and drive events.
Instead, a void opened up, into which stepped the self-described technocrats of the old regime who formed a government and offered their own reading of events. They readily confess that Ben-Ali’s rule was undemocratic, but suggest that this can be changed and that they are the best-placed to do it.… Seguir leyendo »