Oliver Stuenkel

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Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro and U.S. President Joe Biden chat at the ninth Summit of the Americas in Los Angeles, California, on June 10, 2022. CHANDAN KHANNA/AFP via Getty Images

MundoAmérica

Two weeks ago, Brazil’s federal police launched a high-profile raid against former President Jair Bolsonaro and more than 10 of his allies, including Brazil’s former navy chief, national security advisor, and ministers of defense and justice. Authorities accused the group of plotting a potential coup after Bolsonaro’s failed 2022 reelection bid.

Court documents related to the raid suggest that Bolsonaro personally edited a decree that would have overturned election results and imprisoned a Supreme Court justice; a general loyal to the president confirmed he would provide the troops needed to carry out the coup. Bolsonaro also allegedly pressured his cabinet to more forcefully share disinformation about supposed weaknesses in Brazil’s electoral system.…  Seguir leyendo »

Internacional

Since its transformation from an investment category into a political club in 2009—when the heads of state of Brazil, Russia, India and China held their first summit—the BRICS grouping has faced countless critics and doubters. Numerous Western analysts pointed to the many differences and disagreements within the group and expected it to have only a limited impact on global affairs.

Yet, defying such expectations, member countries embraced the BRICS grouping and no leader has missed its annual summit over the past 14 years (summits took place virtually during the pandemic). Even significant ideological swings in member countries such as India or Brazil have done little to alter their commitment to the club, and the BRICS, which invited South Africa to join in 2010 (hence the capital S), have become something far more important than a yearly photo-op.…  Seguir leyendo »

From left to right: Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Ma Zhaoxu, Brazilian Foreign Minister Mauro Vieira, South African Minister of International Relations and Cooperation Naledi Pandor, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, and Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar pose for photos at the BRICS foreign ministers meeting in Cape Town, South Africa, on June 1. Rodger Bosch/AFP via Getty Images

InternacionalOrden Mundial

In 2001, Goldman Sachs banker Jim O’Neill created the acronym “BRIC” to refer to Brazil, Russia, India, and China—countries he predicted would soon have a significant impact on the global economy. In 2006, Goldman Sachs opened a BRIC investment fund pegged to growth in these four nations. The moniker captured the global excitement about emerging powers at the time and transformed into a political grouping in 2009, when leaders of the four countries held their first summit. South Africa joined a year later.

BRICS as a political body has faced countless critics and doubters from the start. Analysts in the Western press largely described the outfit as nonsensical and predicted its imminent demise.…  Seguir leyendo »

A supporter of Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil, September 2022. Ueslei Marcelino / Reuters

MundoAmérica,

Days ahead of Brazil's Oct. 2 presidential election, the country is facing the most serious challenge to its democracy since its inception 37 years ago. President Jair Bolsonaro, a former army captain, triumphed in 2018 amid a wave of anti-establishment sentiment but is now trailing in the polls in his showdown against former President Luiz Inácio da Silva, or Lula, as he is universally known. Confronted with probable defeat, Bolsonaro has made unsubstantiated claims about voter fraud and publicly insists that the only way the opposition can prevent him from winning a second term is by stealing the election. His rhetoric is finding favor among his supporters: of the roughly 50 million Brazilians who say they will vote for Bolsonaro, about one-quarter are so radicalized that they have told pollsters the president should not recognize the result if he loses.…  Seguir leyendo »

MundoAmérica

El nombramiento de Carlos França como sucesor de Ernesto Araújo al frente del Ministerio de Asuntos Exteriores es una señal clara de que el presidente Jair Bolsonaro y su hijo Eduardo —los dos principales actores de la política externa brasileña— no pretenden permitir un giro en la estrategia internacional del país. França nunca estuvo al mando de ninguna embajada en el extranjero, no tiene poder político propio y difícilmente tendrá mucha libertad para tomar decisiones sin el consentimiento explícito de la familia Bolsonaro, que está en proceso de centralizar más si cabe el poder político en el Ejecutivo.

La política externa bolsonarista está siendo extremadamente popular con el ala más radical del bolsonarismo y, de este modo, cumple una función electoral altamente significativa.…  Seguir leyendo »