Robert Litwak

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View of North Korea from the Unification Observatory in Paju, South Korea. In his New Year’s Day speech, North Korea’s leader, Kim Jong-un, made conciliatory remarks toward South Korea, while warning the United States of its nuclear threat. Credit Lee Jin-Man/Associated Press

President Trump and the North Korean leader, Kim Jong-un, have sharply escalated their nuclear saber rattling in recent days. Mr. Kim’s mention in his annual New Year’s Day speech of a “nuclear button” on his desk prompted Mr. Trump to respond Tuesday on Twitter: “I too have a Nuclear Button, but it is a much bigger & more powerful one than his, and my Button works!”

In addition to his predictable bombast, Mr. Kim unexpectedly proposed opening bilateral negotiations between his country and South Korea. The offer was immediately accepted by President Moon Jae-in of South Korea, whose administration fears that the North might disrupt the upcoming Winter Olympics in the South.…  Seguir leyendo »

Pyongyang's version of YouTube recently featured a computer-animated clip of a nuclear strike on Washington delivered via a North Korean ICBM. The North, which a decade ago tested its first nuclear weapon, will soon cross another threshold that could make its video propaganda a genuine threat: It will be able to attack the U.S. homeland with nuclear-tipped long-range ballistic missiles.

North Korea's potential nuclear breakout is both quantitative and qualitative. Unclassified American assessments estimate that North Korea will possess from 20 to 100 nuclear warheads by 2020, and some U.S. officials believe it has already achieved the miniaturization necessary to mount warheads on ballistic missiles.…  Seguir leyendo »

From the moment we arrived at Beijing's spectacular new airport May 6, the pride of the Chinese people as they prepared to host the Summer Olympics was evident. Six days later, in the aftermath of the Chengdu earthquake, we witnessed an even more impressive face of China.

We were visiting the Panda Reserve Center in Wolong, about three hours from Chengdu, as part of a World Wildlife Fund tour when the 7.9 magnitude earthquake struck on May 12. The reserve is like a typical zoo but with 1,500-foot mountains towering on all sides. At 2:28 p.m., in a series of jolts that lasted about three minutes, boulders, trees and dirt came tumbling down.…  Seguir leyendo »