Roberto Guareschi

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América Latina tiene a su primer pontífice, el primero también que no es europeo. ¿Qué puede cambiar en la región con el argentino Francisco? Lo más importante para este análisis es que tendrá una fuerte influencia política.

Antiguo jesuita, miembro de una orden religiosa que ha intervenido en política desde su fundación en el siglo XVI cuando se produjo la reforma protestante, Bergoglio siempre ha considerado a la política como parte importante de su sacerdocio.

Pocos años atrás quiso aglutinar a una buena parte de la oposición argentina, dispersa, sin imaginación y sin líderes. Quería crear un contrapeso a la hegemonía de los Kirchner que han avanzan sobre el parlamento y la justicia, y combatido al periodismo no oficialista, a la manera de otros gobiernos de América Latina.…  Seguir leyendo »

MundoAmérica,

Bolstered by Argentina’s economic stability and widespread sympathy for her widowhood, President Cristina Kirchner’s easy re-election has confirmed that she can, indeed, govern a complex, contentious, and at times self-destructive society without her husband, Néstor. His presidency paved the way for hers, but she is a leader in her own right. The question now is what kind of leader she will want to be in today’s more difficult domestic and international context.

The Kirchners lifted Argentina out of the deep crisis of 2001, presiding over GDP growth rates similar to those of China. They partly restored Argentina’s social and political fabric, which had been weakened by the brutal adjustments made during that crisis, which triggered a president’s fall from power, default on the country’s debts, and a dramatic decline in living standards that left more than half of the population below the poverty line.…  Seguir leyendo »

MundoAmérica

The big question in Latin America today is this: Will Peru’s newly elected president, Ollanta Humala, orient his country toward Venezuela’s Hugo Chávez and his radical allies? Or will he choose the path taken by Brazil’s former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and the region’s other moderate politicians?

Humala’s own ambiguous words offer little guidance. So the direction in which he intends to lead must be read from his actions, and these are unlikely to be definitive in the short term. Peru’s domestic and international situation, however, will frame his main decisions.

Humala is no novice politician rising to victory on charm and luck.…  Seguir leyendo »