Scott Straus

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Relatives of Mykhailo Romaniuk, 58, who was shot dead while cycling on 6 March, at his burial in a cemetery in Bucha, Ukraine, which suffered many victims of the war with Russia. "These are war crimes and it will be recognized by the world as genocide," Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said during a visit to Bucha, on 4 April. © Yasuyoshi Chiba / AFP

Is what is happening in Ukraine genocide? That has been a burning question in this crisis, as it has been in other recent humanitarian crises in Darfur, Syria, Myanmar, China and with the crises in the 1990s, especially in Rwanda. President Vladimir Putin of Russia invoked the term to justify the invasion of Ukraine, claiming to “de-Nazify” the country. Ukraine’s President, Volodymyr Zelensky, countered by accusing Russian forces of genocide, and Ukraine brought a genocide case to the International Court of Justice. That Russia has committed genocide has become integral to official Ukrainian rhetoric about the war. Many of Ukraine’s supporters and Russia’s enemies, including President Joe Biden of the USA, have adopted the same language.…  Seguir leyendo »

Chances are that French air power combined with superior numbers and equipment on the ground in Mali will prevail and force the jihadis to retreat in some fashion to the Sahel. That, however, will hardly be the end.

We know from previous wars in Afghanistan, Yemen, Iraq and elsewhere that the jihadis take a long view of the global war they are waging. In Mali, one of the principal armed jihadist groups, Al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb, has been operating for years in a vast space in the north where the Malian government has and will have little control. We know, too, that France cannot afford politically or economically to sustain a long-term intervention.…  Seguir leyendo »