El pasado sábado Taiwán volvió a demostrar al mundo lo vibrante que es su democracia, con una participación de más del 70% para elegir al nuevo presidente y a su órgano legislativo, el Yuan. Lai Ching-te, candidato del Partido Progresista Democrático (PPD) ganó las elecciones presidenciales pero su partido no obtuvo los votos suficientes para controlar el Parlamento. El antiguo partido que ha dominado la escena política en Taiwán desde décadas, con mejores vínculos con China continental, el Kuomintang (KMT) superó al PPD por un escaño en el Yuan legislativo mientras que el más recientemente creado Partido Popular de Taiwán (PPT), aunque cuenta con pocos escaños tiene la clave para que el PPD pueda legislar.… Seguir leyendo »
Los obstáculos para una invasión exitosa de la isla por parte de China siguen siendo formidables.
Xi Jinping cree que la historia se mueve a su favor. En su visita a Vladimir Putin en Moscú el pasado mes de marzo, el líder chino le dijo al presidente ruso: "Ahora mismo, estamos asistiendo a un cambio nunca visto en 100 años y estamos impulsando este cambio juntos".
Aquella frase dio la vuelta al mundo. Las palabras de Xi fueron vistas como un claro respaldo a la invasión rusa de Ucrania - y una sugerencia de que China, también, pronto desempeñará su papel para "impulsar este cambio".… Seguir leyendo »
For the US, Saturday’s Taiwan election results signal the continuation of heightened tension with China over the issue of Taiwan’s sovereignty. In some ways, President-Elect Lai Ching-te and his Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) made the election into a referendum over whether Taiwan should draw nearer to the US or China.
Lai’s victory signals four more years of efforts to emphasize the island’s ties to the US and to seek closer cooperation between Taipei and Washington. This will be the case regardless of who wins the US presidential election in November.
Expect the US to continue its strong, bipartisan support for Taiwan – a posture reinforced by the presence of a bipartisan coalition of former senior officials who met with Lai and Vice-President-elect Hsiao Bi-khim in Taipei on Monday.… Seguir leyendo »
Conflict between China and the United States just got a little more likely.
On Saturday, Taiwanese voters handed the Democratic Progressive Party (D.P.P.), which asserts that Taiwan is already independent from China and should stay that way, an unprecedented third consecutive presidential victory. In doing so, the island’s people shrugged off ominous warnings by China that a win by President-elect Lai Ching-te — considered by Beijing to be a dangerous Taiwan independence advocate — could trigger a war.
The result should lay to rest any doubt about the direction in which Taiwan is going. Determined to maintain their autonomy, the people of Taiwan are drifting further from China and won’t come back voluntarily, elevating military action as one of the only options left for China to effect the unification with Taiwan that it has long sought.… Seguir leyendo »
Le 13 janvier dernier, les Taïwanais étaient conviés aux urnes, dans un contexte de tensions accrues entre la Chine et les États-Unis. Le Parti démocrate progressiste (PDP), favorable à l’indépendance de l’île, a remporté un troisième mandat consécutif. Une première depuis la démocratisation de l’île à la fin des années 1980. Malgré le contexte sécuritaire entourant l’île, on remarque que le quart des électeurs ont voté d’une manière contestataire, au grand bénéfice du Parti populaire taïwanais (PPT), jeune parti créé en 2019.
Sans pour autant nier les enjeux internationaux, les enjeux intérieurs, tels que le coût de la vie et les emplois, semblent préoccuper davantage une certaine partie de l’électorat taïwanais.… Seguir leyendo »
On a gorgeous, sunny Saturday, Taiwan held its presidential election: 14 million people, or 72% of eligible voters, turned out to vote – my elderly parents among them. As with many families in Taiwan, ours is politically divided along generational lines, and we’ve had our share of screaming matches. But somehow, on voting day, we were at peace. “I’m proud of you”, I said, snapping a photo. And I meant it. We live in a democracy, and we all appreciate it. Afterwards, we lunched at a spot that had a particularly excellent three-cup chicken – and then, ice-cream.
My story is far from unique.… Seguir leyendo »
My home, Taiwan, is a shining example of freedom, democracy and inclusivity. We have one of the world’s most open societies, the highest percentage of female legislators in Asia and a government minister who is transgender. Decades of hard work, smart policies and entrepreneurial mindsets have led to enviably high standards of living and made us the global heart of the semiconductor industry.
When Taiwan votes in elections on Saturday, I will go to the polls with a real feeling of worry about our future and whether we can preserve and maintain what we’ve achieved.
Taiwan’s accomplishments were made possible in part by decades of stability between China and the United States.… Seguir leyendo »
Taiwán acude a las urnas para elegir a su presidente y al parlamento de los próximos cuatro años. Si bien la actualidad política doméstica de este territorio tiende a pasar bajo el radar de la atención mediática en Europa, estos comicios han atraído la atención de muchos debido a su carga geopolítica e importancia económica y su trascendencia para el futuro, no solo de la isla, sino de toda la región. Las tensiones entre China y Estados Unidos han situado a Taiwán como uno de los puntos más sensibles en la competición geopolítica entre ambos, donde el riesgo de conflicto es más notable.… Seguir leyendo »
On Jan. 13, Taiwan will elect a new government whose decision-making will play an important role in shaping cross-strait dynamics for the next four years. Final polls in early January show the Democratic Progressive Party candidate Lai Ching-te as the favorite, marginally ahead of the Kuomintang candidate Hou You-yi, followed by the Taiwan People’s Party’s Ko Wen-je.
A Lai win will produce the most tensions in the near term because China sees this scenario as most threatening to its interests. In response, Beijing will likely increase its pressures on Taiwan even further, through a variety of coercive military and economic tools.… Seguir leyendo »
Le mardi 9 janvier 2024 à 15 h 04, le ministère de la Défense de la République de Chine, Taïwan, a émis une alerte invitant la population à la plus grande prudence à la suite du passage d’un satellite chinois dans l’espace aérien de l’île.
Le message rédigé en caractères chinois et suivi d’une traduction en anglais est apparu sur les téléphones intelligents des résidents de Taïwan, suscitant de nombreuses inquiétudes, amplifiées par ce qui a été ultérieurement qualifié par le ministère lui-même comme une erreur de traduction. En effet, alors que le message en chinois indiquait « La Chine a lancé un satellite à 15 h 04 et il a déjà survolé la partie méridionale du pays.… Seguir leyendo »
No hay extracto porque es una entrada protegida.
When outsiders think about Taiwan’s elections, they often look for answers to the grand questions of the island’s future: does this election indicate that Taiwan will move towards unification with China, or towards becoming a formally independent country? Meanwhile, people on the ground often note that surprisingly little of the political discussion is actually about China. Candidates usually spend most of their time talking about other issues, such as nuclear power, high consumer prices, health-care spending and public housing. As a result, analysts often argue that Taiwanese voters have moved past questions about China and now care more about issues that affect their day-to-day quality of life.… Seguir leyendo »
In an ideal world, Taiwan’s national elections would be nothing to do with China or the US. They would simply be an opportunity for the self-governing island’s 24 million people to choose the politicians and policies that best satisfy their aspirations. But when polling stations open on 13 January, cross-strait relations and geopolitics will weigh on the minds of voters.
The ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and the opposing Kuomintang (KMT) and Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) all claim that they are best placed to preserve Taiwan’s de facto independence and peace with China, despite differences in how warmly they would approach Beijing.… Seguir leyendo »
In 2014, after a 30-year career as an acute-care surgeon, I was elected the first non-party-affiliated mayor of Taipei, Taiwan’s capital, since it became a municipality overseen by the central government. I was re-elected in 2018, amid intense competition between the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and the Kuomintang (KMT). Over the past quarter century, these rivals have alternately held the reins of executive and legislative power, symbolising a lack of confidence among our citizens in the bipartisan system that had long dominated Taiwanese politics.
Advocating sweeping change, I established the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) in 2019 and now seek the presidency in the election that is to be held on January 13th.… Seguir leyendo »
As Taiwan's electorate prepares to cast ballots in the presidential and parliamentary elections on January 13th, voting will once again be taking place under the shadow of hybrid warfare and covert influence from the People’s Republic of China (PRC), which is motivated by a desire to sabotage the rules-based international order and expand its global influence.
Starting with its first direct presidential election in 1996, Taiwan has conducted seven rounds of elections for president, with three peaceful changes of governing party. Through the years following Taiwan’s successful transition from authoritarianism to democracy, democratic values have become deeply ingrained in the Taiwanese psyche.… Seguir leyendo »
No hay extracto porque es una entrada protegida.
Many in Washington are pointing to last week’s meeting between President Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping as a sign that the two great powers are growing closer. But on the most important issue in the relationship — Taiwan — Washington and Beijing are moving further apart. Xi’s rhetoric indicates he’s getting impatient with the status quo — and his actions are even more worrisome.
During the two leaders’ private meeting in the San Francisco Bay Area, Xi struck some ominous notes on Taiwan. Regarding Beijing’s long-standing desire to bring the island under its control, Xi said his “preference was for peaceful reunification”, a senior U.S.… Seguir leyendo »
No hay extracto porque es una entrada protegida.
To some observers, it may seem like Xi Jinping is itching to unify Taiwan with China.
The Chinese president has repeatedly asserted that doing so is vital to achieving his “China Dream” of national rejuvenation. He has instructed the Chinese military to be prepared by 2027 to take Taiwan by force, if necessary, and China increasingly uses its growing military might to intimidate Taiwan’s people into yielding to Chinese control. Last month, it staged large-scale naval drills involving an aircraft carrier in waters east of Taiwan and, days later, flew 103 warplanes toward the island — a single-day record.
But this bluster masks significant misgivings within China’s leadership about whether its largely unproven People’s Liberation Army forces can seize and control Taiwan at an acceptable cost, doubts that have very likely been accentuated by Russia’s military failures in Ukraine.… Seguir leyendo »
No es mucha la atención que prestamos a la vieja Formosa. Y, sin embargo, poco a poco se afianza como uno de los epicentros geopolíticos clave del siglo XXI. Las aguas de su estrecho son de gran importancia para el comercio mundial; sus semiconductores, indispensables pero, sobre todo, su estabilidad y la paz representan el mejor garante de la prosperidad de toda Asia y del resto del mundo.
A tres meses vista de sus elecciones presidenciales y legislativas, la atmósfera política se va caldeando. Internamente, dos bloques, con dos visiones distintas del futuro de la isla, contraponen sus programas. El soberanismo, en torno al actual vicepresidente Lai Ching-te, parte con buenas expectativas.… Seguir leyendo »
