John Mueller

Este archivo solo abarca los artículos del autor incorporados a este sitio a partir del 1 de diciembre de 2006. Para fechas anteriores realice una búsqueda entrecomillando su nombre.

Russian President Vladimir Putin in the Tver region, Russia, November 2022. Maxim Blinov / Sputnik / Pool / Reuters

Europa

Regardless of how it ends, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine is likely to be judged by history as a debacle. Moscow’s goals have included keeping Ukraine from embracing NATO and the West; establishing a compliant regime in Kyiv; preventing Ukrainian nationalists—Putin calls them “neo-Nazis”—from flourishing; reducing hatred of Russia in Ukraine; blocking Ukraine from arming further; reconstituting the Soviet Union—or the Russian Empire—in some form under the Kremlin’s overlordship; dividing the West; increasing Russian prestige and influence in the area and around the world; destroying or at least undermining democracy; boosting the use of the Russian language in Ukraine while making Ukrainians identify more closely with Russia and Russianness; and demonstrating the prowess and majesty of the Russian military.…  Seguir leyendo »

Destroyed Russian tanks and military vehicles dumped near Bucha, Ukraine, May 2022. Jorge Silva / Reuters

Europa, , ,

When Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that he had ordered a “special military operation” against Ukraine on February 24, Europe had been substantially free of international war for nearly 80 years. That is likely the longest the once most warlike of continents has gone without such a war at least since the days of the Roman Empire.

In recent decades, the aversion to international war, following Europe’s lead, has spread. The result is that, over the last 30 years, there have been only three other interstate wars, conventionally defined as armed conflicts with at least 1,000 battle-related deaths per year. Ethiopia and Eritrea fought one such war in the last years of the twentieth century.…  Seguir leyendo »

MundoÁfricaInternacionalOTAN, ,

Introduction

As Muammar el-Qaddafi’s forces continued their assault on rebels in several cities in Libya, the Pentagon began repositioning Navy warships to support a possible humanitarian or military intervention. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton reiterated on Tuesday that establishing a no-flight zone on Libya was “under active consideration", though such a move would very likely carried out only under a United Nations or NATO mandate. Meanwhile, opposition leaders debated calling on the West for airstrikes under the U.N. banner.

How far should the U.S. and the international community go in intervening in Libya? What are the risks?

High Risks for Acting Now

Kori Schake is a research fellow at the Hoover Institution and an associate professor at the United States Military Academy at West Point.…  Seguir leyendo »

InternacionalTerrorismo Internacional

En una entrevista reciente, el jefe de Seguridad Interior de Estados Unidos, Michael Chertoff, proclamó que la "lucha" contra el terrorismo es una lucha "existencial importante", con cuidado de diferenciarla, por lo visto, de todas esas otras luchas existenciales insignificantes que hemos librado en el pasado.

Mientras tanto, The New York Times asegura que "la lucha contra Al Qaeda es la batalla fundamental de esta generación", y John McCain amplía el concepto y la llama "el reto trascendental del siglo XXI", mientras que los demócratas insisten sin cesar en que la guerra de Irak ha reforzado y vuelto más compleja la amenaza terrorista.…  Seguir leyendo »