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After a year of intense diplomatic negotiations, the Turkish government is now permitting the United States to use Turkey’s Incirlik Air Base, which will allow American aircraft to fly missions in Syria and Iraq with greater operational effectiveness and economic efficiency.

The price of this agreement, however, may well be too high in the long run, both for the success of America’s anti-Islamic State campaign and for the stability of Turkey.

That’s because the Turkish government’s recent change of heart and its sudden willingness to allow American access to the Incirlik base was driven by domestic political considerations, rather than a fundamental rethinking of its Syria strategy.…  Seguir leyendo »

The new details emerging about the threat of ISIS, including the possible use of chemical weapons and the systematic rape of young girls, are dreadful.

But another disturbing development has surfaced: The United States appears to have undercut -- perhaps even betrayed -- Kurdish militias, the only truly effective fighting force so far in the war against ISIS.

The Kurds are now coming under attack not only from ISIS but also from Turkey, a U.S. ally.

Turkey's decision last month to join the fight, which seemed like a boost to the anti-ISIS coalition, looks like it may have been fueled less by the goal of defeating ISIS than by a drive by Turkey to push back against the Kurds' impressive territorial gains.…  Seguir leyendo »

La Turquie vient d’annoncer la fin du processus de paix lancé en 2012 pour tenter de trouver une solution politique au conflit qui l’oppose à la guérilla du Parti des travailleurs du Kurdistan (PKK). La population kurde a voulu croire un temps aux promesses de paix de M. Erdogan et lui a apporté un soutien décisif lors de l’élection à la présidence en 2014. Puis, le paquet de réformes s’est révélé vide de substance et la connivence du pouvoir turc envers Daech lors du siège de la ville kurde syrienne de Kobané, en Syrie, à l’automne 2014 a dissipé les dernières illusions sur les intentions d’Ankara.…  Seguir leyendo »

Last Friday, Turkey joined the war against Islamic State, the terrorist-run entity that now controls eastern Syria and western Iraq. After four years of leaving the border open for supplies and recruits to reach Islamic State, the Turkish government sent planes to bomb three Islamic State targets in Syria.

At the same time, Ankara ended a four-year ban on its anti-Islamic State “coalition” allies using the huge Incirlik airbase near the Syrian border. There was rejoicing in Washington, since coalition aircraft (mostly American) will now be much closer to Islamic State targets in Syria, and Turkey will also presumably close its border with Syria at last.…  Seguir leyendo »

Turkish troops patrol the Syrian border as airstrikes begin. EPA/Deniz Toprak

Between 03.40 and 03.53 on July 24, three Turkish F-16 jets bombed three Islamic State targets in Syria. This was the first time the Turkish military has taken direct action against the terrorist group.

As the airstrikes began, Turkish police arrested a large number of suspected IS sympathisers across the state. The Turkish government has also opened the strategically important Incirlik airbase to Western allies engaged in the bombing campaign against IS. US officials have called this a “game-changer”. Turkey, a key Middle Eastern state and NATO ally, has formally joined the coalition against IS.

But the decision to get involved, after months of international pressure, has not been made entirely out of a sense of obligation.…  Seguir leyendo »

Por Semih Vaner, director de investigación del Centro de Estudios e Investigaciones Internacionales (París) y director de Cahiers d'études sur la Méditerranée orientale et le monde turco-iranien (EL PAÍS, 12/03/03):

La crisis iraquí no podía llegar en peor momento para el AKP (Partido de la Justicia y el Desarrollo), que ganó de forma clara las elecciones legislativas del 3 de noviembre pasado en Turquía. Con una cómoda mayoría que podía traer consigo una estabilidad parlamentaria y, llegado el caso, política -que tanta falta hacía desde hacía 40 años-, tenía la intención de demostrar al mundo entero que el islam y la democracia son perfectamente conciliables (sin que se confundan los registros, como hacemos en Francia, bien por temor o para tratar de desacreditar a quienes llamamos abusivamente los "islamistas"); y que, por consiguiente, podía perfectamente ser "musulmandemócrata", igual que en Roma o en Múnich se dice "cristianodemócrata" para designar a una tendencia política.…  Seguir leyendo »